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Russia 2018: Kremlin Countdown

Updated

A tip sheet on Russia's March 18 presidential election delivering RFE/RL and Current Time TV news, videos, and analysis along with links to what our Russia team is watching. Compiled by RFE/RL correspondents and editors.

No Time For Bad News

Opposition leader Ilya Yashin, who is a deputy in Moscow's Krasnoselsky district, posted on Facebook on March 11 that the entire print run of a new report, titled Putin: Results 2018, was confiscated by Moscow police as it was being delivered from the printer.

Yashin posted a short video of this incident, which occurred in a Moscow parking garage.

The report, which was authored by Yashin and former Deputy Energy Minister Vladimir Milov, continues a tradition started by slain opposition leader Boris Nemtsov, who was shot dead outside the Kremlin in February 2015. The report assesses the economic, social, and international performance of President Putin over the 18 years of his rule.

"It is clear that the police have acted illegally: no one in Russia is banned from speaking out in opposition to the president or from publishing reports that criticize him," Yashin wrote. "However, in practice, the police carry out the function of a political guard and arrest any publication that does not sing Putin's praises."

Yashin wrote that the presentation of the report will go ahead as planned, but did not say when it would be held.

Previous reports can be seen at the Putin: Results website.

In A Nutshell

Handy AFP infographic on the bare-bones outline of President Vladimir Putin's career so far.

Generation Putin

The BBC's Russian Service has issued the first video of a series of interviews with 18-year-old Russians -- those who are eligible to go to the polls for the first time on March 18 and who have lived their whole lives in the shadow of Vladimir Putin's national leadership.

In the first clip, Zhenya Akulov of St. Petersburg tells of one of his earliest memories, in which his mother encouraged him to eat up his food by pointing to Putin's portrait and saying, "Eat -- Uncle Volodya is watching you!"

Akulov says he will only decide whether to vote once election day itself rolls around.

Dozhd TV quotes Vladimir Putin's spokesman as confirming that the shoo-in incumbent president's last trip to "the regions" before the March 18 election will be a March 14 trip to Crimea, which Russia invaded and then annexed from Ukraine four years to the day before th looming election.

The station quotes sources as saying that while there will be a number of rallies there, the biggest will be in the port city of Sevastopol, home to Russia's Black Sea Fleet.

Earlier rumors suggested Putin might cast his ballot in Crimea. The United Nations voted overwhelmingly after the 2014 seizure that Crimea remained part of Ukraine.

Election Will Be Watched For 'Any Signs Of Weakness'

Timothy Frye, a longtime Russia watcher and chairman of Columbia University’s Department of Political Science, shares the consensus that Vladimir Putin’s reelection on March 18 is a foregone conclusion. He cites "ballot-box stuffing, voter intimidation, and dirty tricks against the opposition," among other factors.

But the essential purpose of the vote, Frye argues in a "5 Questions" piece, is not to decide a leader, but rather “they provide a rare public signal of the relative strength of Putin, and potential challengers among the elite and the public.”

“Those in Russia who might challenge Putin’s rule will scrutinize the election results for signs of weakness,” he says.

And that will add to the other most important outcome of the vote: Who might succeed Putin in six years’ time?

Tatars For Putin

The Kremlin-friendly World Congress of Tatars has officially endorsed incumbent President Putin.

"Many centuries connect Tatars with Russia," the organization's March 12 statement says, "which has been and remains for the majority of us our homeland."

"Through the most difficult times we demonstrated our loyalty to Russia," it continues. "Today, when many do not like the increasing power of our country, it is particularly necessary to show unity and togetherness. Only such a Russia can be the guarantor of the development of our people. The Tatar nation connects its future with our national leader, Vladimir Putin. We call on all our countrymen to participate actively in the voting and to support the political course of the current president of the country. We are for a strong Russia, for a strong president, for Putin."

Making up nearly 4 percent of the population, Tatars form the largest minority ethnic group in Russia. Many activists say the Kremlin has long pursued policies to Russify the Tatars, creating difficulties for the spread of the Tatar language. According to Russian census figures, the number of people who speak Tatar in Russia fell by just over 1 million between 2002 and 2010.

Putin Videos 'Not A Violation Because We Don't Regulate The Web'

There have been a spate of Vladimir Putin videos and documentaries popping up on social media in recent weeks, including Facebook, VK, and Odnoklassniki. Andrei Kondrashov’s two-hour documentary released over the weekend is only the latest example.

All those videos, however, are prompting complaints from some Russians, saying it amounts to free campaign advertising for the incumbent, in violation of Russian election law.

Not so, says the head of the Central Election Commission, Ella Pamfilova, because Russian election law does not regulate the Internet. “We will think about the future after the election. But for now, whether you like the law or not, whether it is good or bad, we are acting in strict accordance with it,” Pamfilova was quoted by Interfax as saying. “This is not a violation, because we don’t regulate the Internet.”

Russian Elections 101: The Formalities

The latest video in RFE/RL's ongoing series of quick primers on the March 18 vote. This one's on the mundane elements of the process that critics say are aimed at lending the appearance of a competitive process to a foregone conclusion.

Russian Elections 101: The Formalities
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Blast From The Past

With President Putin all but assured of a fourth presidential term, some archivists thought it was a good time to remind us of the momentous events of August 9, 1999, when then-President Boris Yeltsin named Putin as his successor, saying he was the only person "capable of uniting the country."

Here are those events, as reported by the then-independent NTV television channel, when moderators felt obligated to tell audiences who Putin was.

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